Anticipate the effects of climate change across the key parts of your supply chain

MUGO’s climate risk analysis helps identify, quantify, and prioritize risks along the supply chain, enabling you to anticipate where the effects of climate change may impact profit margins and revenue.

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THE IMPACT ON PRICES

The price of extra virgin olive oil increased by 50% between 2023 and 2024 due to drought, which reduced production by 40% in Spain, Italy, and Greece.

FOR REPORTING AND RATINGS

Who requests a climate risk analysis?

In section E1-2 of the ESRS

To improve corporate ratings

To improve the company’s ESG score

BENEFITS

Integrating climate risk analysis into your business strategy enables you to:

Prevent supply disruptions and safeguard revenue

A resilient supply chain ensures operational continuity.

Anticipate cost volatility and protect profit margins

Identify possible economic effects of events driven by climate change to limit their impact.

Discover supply chain vulnerabilities

Detect products, sites, and suppliers potentially at risk.

Enable strategic procurement

Make data-driven decisions to optimize sourcing and supply strategies.

Communicate with transparency

Embedding climate risk analysis into corporate plans and reporting strengthens stakeholder trust.

METHODOLOGY

The methodology behind the analysis

Data Collection &

Supply Chain Mapping

Gathering data across supply chains, prioritised by financial exposure and environmental impact.

Risk 

Definition

Identification of risks (based on TCFD) and ecosystem dependencies.

Risk 

Classification

Selection of risk indicators categorized by type and potential business impact.

Risk 

Assessment

Prioritization of risks based on magnitude and financial materiality.

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OUTPUTS OF THE CLIMATE RISK ANALYSIS

Documents to support business decisions

Climate Risk 

Report 

A technical document containing the risk analysis, compliant with CSRD requirements (E1-2).

Supply Chain 

Vulnerability Map 

A visualization of regions, products, and suppliers that pose risks to the supply chain.

Risk Scoring 

Report

Numerical insights on how specific risks (floods, droughts, etc.) may impact the supply chain.

Resilience & 

Adaptation Plan

A strategic plan to minimise risks and strengthen supply chain resilience.

The MUGO approach

MUGO combines the leading international frameworks for science-based climate risk analysis, following TCFD recommendations, to position risk assessment at the center of business decision-making.

How to use climate risk analysis within your company

The outputs of the climate risk analysis go beyond analytics. They become tools for governance, planning, and sustainable growth. From supply chain and procurement to financial planning and ESG reporting, these insights provide an objective foundation for more resilient and competitive decisions.
 
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